Archivio per 17 novembre 2011

17
Nov
11

Your Invisible Power: The Power Of Intuition

Via Scoop.itBounded Rationality and Beyond

The Power Of Intuition
Have you had that experience when all of a sudden you just had this huge hunch that something is about to happen, and to your surprise, that intuition was eventually translated to reality? When you feel strongly about something without logical basis to it, that’s called intuition.
Via invisiblepower2.blogspot.com

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17
Nov
11

How Should Rationalists Approach Death?

Via Scoop.itBounded Rationality and Beyond

““How Should Rationalists Approach Death?” That’s the title of the panel I’m moderating this weekend at Skepticon, and I couldn’t be more excited. It’s a big topic – we won’t figure it all out in an hour, but I know we’ll get people to think. Do common beliefs about death make sense? How can we find comfort about our mortality? Should we try to find comfort about death? What should society be doing about death?
Via measureofdoubt.com

17
Nov
11

What do philosophers think about intuition?

Via Scoop.itBounded Rationality and Beyond

Earlier this year I complained, on Rationally Speaking, about the fact that so many philosophers think it’s sufficient to back up their arguments by citing “intuition.” It’s a tricky term to pin do. Another important side point the researchers make is there’s more than one way to use your intuitions. Philosophers certainly do use them as justification for claims, but they also use intuitions to generate claims which they then justify using more rigorous methods like logic and evidence. 83% of survey respondents agreed that intuitions are useful in that latter way, and I agree too — I have no problem with people using intuition to generate possible ideas, I just have a problem with people saying “This feels intuitively true to me, so it must be true.”
Via measureofdoubt.com

17
Nov
11

Complexity Science in Human Terms: A Relational Model of Business

Via Scoop.itBounded Rationality and Beyond
At the cusp of the twenty-first century, we are experiencing unprecedented structural shifts in our economy brought about by the revolutions in computation and communication technologies. Today the world is linked in ways unimaginable just a decade ago. A new kind of economy is emerging–the connected economy–a shift that rivals the onset of the Industrial Revolution in its impact on society and the way commerce is transacted.
Via harvest-associates.com

17
Nov
11

Buy Less Insurance — PsyBlog

Via Scoop.itBounded Rationality and Beyond

Our minds cope better with negative events than we imagine, so avoid the extended warranty. Everyone hates to lose out. Indeed in many circumstances we hate losses more than we love gains (it’s called risk aversion). The insurance industry knows this only too well so it frames products in terms of losses: Worried you’re going to be robbed?
Worried your holiday will be a disaster?
Worried you’re going to die?
Well, worry no more! Insurance is the answer!
Via www.spring.org.uk

17
Nov
11

Thinking, Fast and Slow – FT.com

Via Scoop.itBounded Rationality and Beyond

There have been many good books on human rationality and irrationality, but only one masterpiece. That masterpiece is Daniel Kahneman’s Thinking, Fast and Slow. High quality global journalism requires investment. Please share this article with others using the link below, do not cut & paste the article. See our Ts&Cs and Copyright Policy for more detail. Email ftsales.support@ft.com to buy additional rights. http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/15bb6522-04ac-11e1-91d9-00144feabdc0.html#ixzz1dxi7PX2B Kahneman, a winner of the Nobel Prize for economics, distils a lifetime of research into an encyclopedic coverage of both the surprising miracles and the equally surprising mistakes of our conscious and unconscious thinking. He achieves an even greater miracle by weaving his insights into an engaging narrative that is compulsively readable from beginning to end. My main problem in doing this review was preventing family members and friends from stealing my copy of the book to read it for themselves.
Via www.ft.com

17
Nov
11

MMOWGLI: An Experiment in Generating Collective Intelligence

Via Scoop.itBounded Rationality and Beyond

“mmowgli is both the coolest project I have ever worked on and the hardest to describe in words, but here it goes: mmowgli is an experiment in generating collective intelligence and a pilot project being developed by the Office of Naval Research. Beyond that, mmowgli is ultimately the answer to a few questions, ones that haunted me every day during my tour as a Science Advisor at the Pentagon: why did I experience such a disconnect between technologists and “innovators,” on one hand, and warfighters and end users on the other? Why didn’t “game changing innovations” generate more enthusiasm from those who were “in the game?” And what was I doing to make it better? As my Pentagon tour drew to a close, these questions nagged at me and morphed into a thousand others: What if we took a heavy, formal approach, and made it lighter and more of a continuous conversation instead of a blueprint? What if you didn’t need a fully formed idea to make a contribution? What if ideas, even half-formed ones, could meet up in space and recombine with other ideas to form new ones? What if this conversation engaged more stakeholders and tolerated more excursions? Finally, what if this conversation became so rich and compelling that, instead of truncating the debate, it actually enlarged the universe of possibilities?”
Via science.dodlive.mil




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