27
Feb
15

Prediction, precaution, and policy under global change

See on Scoop.itPapers

A great deal of research to inform environmental conservation and management takes a predict-and-prescribe strategy in which improving forecasts about future states of ecosystems is the primary goal. But sufficiently thorough understanding of ecosystems needed to reduce deep uncertainties is probably not achievable, seriously limiting the potential effectiveness of the predict-and-prescribe approach. Instead, research should integrate more closely with policy development to identify the range of alternative plausible futures and develop strategies that are robust across these scenarios and responsive to unpredictable ecosystem dynamics.

Prediction, precaution, and policy under global change
Daniel E. Schindler, Ray Hilborn

Science 27 February 2015:
Vol. 347 no. 6225 pp. 953-954
http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1261824

See on sciencemag.org



Time is real? I think not

febbraio: 2015
L M M G V S D
« Gen   Mar »
 1
2345678
9101112131415
16171819202122
232425262728  

Commenti recenti

Lorenzo Bosio su Un testo che trascende le sue…

Inserisci il tuo indirizzo e-mail per iscriverti a questo blog e ricevere notifiche di nuovi messaggi per e-mail.

Segui assieme ad altri 1.160 follower

Latest Tweets


%d blogger hanno fatto clic su Mi Piace per questo: