13
Mag
15

Fooled by Experience

See on Scoop.itBounded Rationality and Beyond

What you think you’ve learned may be wrong. A guide to figuring out the real lessons.

We rely on the weight of experience to make judgments and decisions. We interpret the past—what we’ve seen and what we’ve been told—to chart a course for the future, secure in the wisdom of our insights. After all, didn’t our ability to make sense of what we’ve been through get us where we are now? It’s reasonable that we go back to the same well to make new decisions.

It could also be a mistake.

Experience seems like a reliable guide, yet sometimes it fools us instead of making us wiser.

The problem is that we view the past through numerous filters that distort our perceptions. As a result, our interpretations of experience are biased, and the judgments and decisions we base on those interpretations can be misguided. Even so, we persist in believing that we have gleaned the correct insights from our own experience and from the accounts of other people.

See on hbr.org



Time is real? I think not

maggio: 2015
L M M G V S D
« Apr   Giu »
 123
45678910
11121314151617
18192021222324
25262728293031

Commenti recenti

Inserisci il tuo indirizzo e-mail per iscriverti a questo blog e ricevere notifiche di nuovi messaggi per e-mail.

Segui assieme ad altri 833 follower

Latest Tweets

Alessandro Cerboni


%d blogger cliccano Mi Piace per questo: