Archivio per 21 maggio 2015

21
Mag
15

Ritual performance and religion in early Neolithic societies, in Defining the Sacred: Approaches to the Archaeology of Religion in the Near East, ed. Nicola Laneri (2015)

See on Scoop.itBounded Rationality and Beyond

South-west Asia in the last 10 millennia of the Palaeolithic (known regionally as the Epi-palaeolithic) and the early (aceramic) Neolithic saw the emergence of a completely new kind of human social organisation in the form of large, permanently

See on academia.edu

Annunci
21
Mag
15

Neurofenomenologia: una scienza che trae vantaggio dal proprio punto cieco

See on Scoop.itBounded Rationality and Beyond

La neurofenomenologia • l’ultimo grande progetto al contempo scientifico, filosofico ed esistenziale al quale Francisco Varela ha lavorato. Ma, prima di parlarne, vorrei evocare brevemente quella che credo sia la fonte vissuta e unica della sua opera, ed in particolar modo della neurofenomenologia. Questa fonte, cos“ come l’ho percepita, •una volontà molto forte, quasi tirannica, di tenere insieme l’integralità dei fili del tessuto umano, a partire dall’indagine scientifica spinta ad un optimum di rigore fino alla condotta etica costretta ad incarnarsi, passando per questa tacita condizione di possibilità del resto: l’apertura a ci˜ che accade.

See on academia.edu

21
Mag
15

Improvvisare. Nell’arte contemporanea, nella scienza e nella vita quotidiana

See on Scoop.itBounded Rationality and Beyond

L’improvvisazione è l’arte più scientifica che esista. Perchè in verità l’improvvisazione è soltanto metà della storia: l’altra metà è che bisogna avere la macchina dentro. Devi acquisire moduli infiniti di svolgimento, devi impararli,come un suonatore di jazz che sa di dover rientrare alla sedicesima battuta, e ne ha sedici a disposizione per fare le varianti. Tutte le consonanti del canto lui le ha dentro, e va insieme al battere e al levare. E naturalmente si lega ai ritmi, ai tempi, al contrappunto. La matematica del contrappunto è la stessa nella commedia, nel monologo, nella musica

1.

See on academia.edu

21
Mag
15

Mind, Society and Behaviour – RSA

See on Scoop.itBounded Rationality and Beyond

Development economics and policy are due for a redesign. A more realistic understanding of how human beings think and behave can make development policies more effective, and can help development professionals become more aware of their own biases.

A great deal of development policy aims to supply the resources and information people require in their voyage through life. While such an approach is often appropriate, it is also incomplete. People are not perfect calculators of costs and benefits. They rely on heuristics and mental shortcuts. They are influenced by social norms and culture. Poverty is not simply a state of material deprivation, but also a “tax” on cognitive resources that affects the quality of decision making. Fortunately, policies can often be made more effective by simple changes in design, framing and delivery. Recent research from psychology and sociology together with new experimental methods in economics shows how. The 2015 World Development Report interprets this research to formulate many simple lessons for policy making and implementation.

See on thersa.org

21
Mag
15

Nick Naumof: The (only) Question that Could Have Accurately Predicted the Winner in Recent Elections in Romania

See on Scoop.itBounded Rationality and Beyond

I guess (some of) you know that, last Sunday, Romanians elected a new president. This is not news. The news is that the under-dog challenger won against all odds and predictions. All pre-election polls predicted that the favourite – the incumbent Prime Minister – will win and at a comfortable difference. But, things didn’t happen as expected. The opposition’s candidate won at a very comfortable difference – 54.5% to 45.5% (roughly 9% of expressed votes) which in absolute numbers represents more than 1.100.000 votes. Now, that the results are known, there are a lot of people explaining how it happened. Yeah… Hindsight Bias! There is, however, a question – methodology – that could have predicted the winner with accuracy.
See on naumof.blogspot.it

21
Mag
15

The Debt To GDP Ratio For The Entire World: 286 Percent

See on Scoop.itGold and What Moves it.

Did you know that there is more than $28,000 of debt for every man, woman and child on the entire planet?  And since close to 3 billion of those people survive on less than 2 dollars a day, your share of that debt is going to be much larger than that.  If we took everything that the global economy produced this year and everything that the global economy produced next year and used it to pay all of this debt, it still would not be enough.  According to a recent report put out by the McKinsey Global Institute entitled “Debt and (not much) deleveraging“, the total amount of debt on our planet has grown from 142 trillion dollars at the end of 2007 to 199 trillion dollars today.  This is the largest mountain of debt in the history of the world, and those numbers mean that we are in substantially worse condition than we were just prior to the last financial crisis.

Hal’s insight:

Click through for the rest.

See on theeconomiccollapseblog.com

21
Mag
15

[1505.04722] On the tail risk of violent conflict and its underestimation

See on Scoop.itBounded Rationality and Beyond

We examine all possible statistical pictures of violent conflicts over common era history with a focus on dealing with incompleteness and unreliability of data. We apply methods from extreme value theory on log-transformed data to remove compact support, then, owing to the boundedness of maximum casualties, retransform the data and derive expected means. We find the estimated mean likely to be at least three times larger than the sample mean, meaning severe underestimation of the severity of conflicts from naive observation. We check for robustness by sampling between high and low estimates and jackknifing the data. We study inter-arrival times between tail events and find (first-order) memorylessless of events. The statistical pictures obtained are at variance with the claims about “long peace”.

 
See on arxiv.org




Time is real? I think not

maggio: 2015
L M M G V S D
« Apr   Giu »
 123
45678910
11121314151617
18192021222324
25262728293031

Commenti recenti

Lorenzo Bosio su Un testo che trascende le sue…

Inserisci il tuo indirizzo e-mail per iscriverti a questo blog e ricevere notifiche di nuovi messaggi per e-mail.

Segui assieme ad altri 1.044 follower

Latest Tweets

Annunci

%d blogger hanno fatto clic su Mi Piace per questo: