Archivio per settembre 2016

30
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Il Rigoletto/ L’economia nella mente

See on Scoop.itBounded Rationality and Beyond

“L’economia nella mente” di Paolo Legrenzi e Armando Massarenti

II panorama economico degli ultimi anni ha incrinato le certezze dei risparmiatori, che devono decidere come investire in uno scenario incerto. Molti sostengono che la soluzione consista nel promuovere una maggiore alfabetizzazione finanziaria. Ma e davvero cos)? Paolo Legrenzi e Armando Massarenti mostrano che, per non gettare al vento i nostri risparmi, la prima cosa da imparare e come funziona la mente e come evitare di prendere decisioni dettate dall’irrazionalita e dall’emotivita. Spesso la pigrizia ci impedisce di cambiare le scelte di investimento del passato, la paura ci spinge a vendere un titolo azionario subito dopo it crollo di una Borsa. Se invece impariamo a evitare comportamenti irrazionali e a controllare le nostre emozioni, potremo investire i nostri risparmi dormendo sonni tranquilli (senza nascondere i soldi sotto it materasso).

See on affaritaliani.it

Annunci
30
Set
16

5 MODI PER CAPIRE QUANDO QUALCUNO CI STA MENTENDO

See on Scoop.itBounded Rationality and Beyond

Non sarebbe bello se si potesse capire quando qualcuno mente? Vediamo cosa ci dicono le ricerche su come scoprire le bugie, evitare gli inganni, ecc. e come evitare di essere raggirati dai professionisti in questo campo: i geni della truffa Per ottenere le risposte giuste, ho chiesto l’aiuto di un esperto: Maria Konnikova è una scrittrice che collabora con The New Yorker. Il suo nuovo meraviglioso libro s’intitola “The confidence Game”. Maria, grazie alle sue ricerche, ha conoscenze profonde su come riconoscere le bugie ed evitare le truffe. Ha perfino osservato i geni della truffa all’opera, per vedere come pensano e agiscono. Innanzitutto, un avvertimento: scoprire le bugie è difficile. Non pensate che ci sia una panacea. Non c’è. Se ci fosse, chiunque potrebbe usarla. E la maggior parte delle cose che crediamo di conoscere è sbagliata. Dice Maria: Non esiste un naso di Pinocchio che indichi le bugie. Non c’è un segnale tangibile che smascheri i bugiardi, non importa quel che ne pensiamo. Ci sono molte credenze popolari su come si possa scoprire un bugiardo: il truffatore evita di guardarti negli occhi, suda, arrossisce, ecc. In realtà, quando parliamo con bugiardi esperti, questo non succede. Allora, cosa si può fare per scoprire le bugie ed evitare di essere ingannati? Ecco le risposte …

See on veja.it

30
Set
16

These are the people who will elect the next president of the US. 

See on Scoop.itBounded Rationality and Beyond

An analysis of the differences between liberals and conservatives, from brain structure and personality to values and consumer behavior.

At one, you’ll see Trump impersonators, free helicopter rides for children and even elephants roaming around with “Make America Great Again” painted on their sides. In between chants to “build a wall–kill them all,” you’ll hear promises to take the country back to better times, when America was truly great. Read more at http://blog.visme.co/the-anatomy-of-trump-and-hillary-supporters-infographic/#xwqxUITeciUmTg6g.99

See on blog.visme.co

30
Set
16

Nudge Factory | Good for Community, Good for Business

See on Scoop.itBounded Rationality and Beyond

The dust is starting to settle following what must surely be one of the most tumultuous months in British politics. In the wake of the Brexit vote and subsequent Conservative Leadership election, Prime Minister May has just finished putting together her new Ministerial team. What can we learn from the shape of the new Government? And what should we be looking out for in future? Too much blood? The scale of Ministerial sackings was well beyond what had been anticipated. It was not just taking a broom for a clean sweep of the Government, but more a case of scouring Whitehall out with bleach. The Notting Hill set was decimated, with supporters of Cameron, Osborne and Gove all losing jobs, and other, sometime long-serving, Ministers also being culled. In all, nearly 30 Cabinet and junior Ministers lost their jobs – that is around one quarter of the entire payroll vote. The desire for a fresh start was to be expected as a new PM stamps their authority. However, there is also a sense amongst the Tory benches of scores being settled, certainly in the case of Gove and his backers, and the manner in which Osborne departed. With a Commons majority of just 16, time will tell whether so many sackings will mean trouble in future votes. The newly appointed Chief Whip, Gavin Williamson, may have a job on his hands.

See on nudgefactory.co.uk

29
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16

How does ‘complexity thinking’ improve our understanding of politics and policymaking?

See on Scoop.itBounded Rationality and Beyond

It is customary to describe complexity theory as new, exciting, and interdisciplinary. Its advocates suggest that it offers a new way of seeing the world, a scientific paradigm to replace ‘reductionism’, a way for many academic disciplines to use the same language to explain key processes, and the potential for an impressively broad and rich empirical base. Robert Geyer and I explore these themes in the introduction and conclusion to our edited Handbook on Complexity and Public Policy. In this short discussion, I present a more critical discussion of these high expectations, examining how they translate into something new for political and policy science, and asking: what does complexity theory offer policy studies? I suggest that its focus on greater interdisciplinarity is potentially misleading, that its theoretical appeal may be more about conceptual consolidation than novelty, and that it may take some time to demonstrate its empirical value in relation to more established theories. We can use this discussion to draw parallels between the study of policy and legal processes.

See on paulcairney.files.wordpress.com

28
Set
16

Paul Cairney: Complexity Theory & Complex Adaptive Systems

See on Scoop.itBounded Rationality and Beyond

Paul Cairney’s talk at the CIPFA conference in Dundee raised some interesting questions around national policy making and the lack of an effective holistic understanding of the system in the UK. The Professor of Politics and Public Policy at the University of Stirling believes, that more power should be given to local authorities in order to better tackle complex and ever-changing problems. I believe this to be very relevant to the user-centric philosophy of service design. Making the local authorities more responsible for solving the problems at hand could increase the speed and efficiency of policy making the same way involving users can increase an efficiency of a service better than centralised decisions made by high management.

See on zasmastersproject.wordpress.com

28
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16

Mathematical Reasoning And Heuristics:  C. Cellucci, D. Gillies

See on Scoop.itBounded Rationality and Beyond

This volume is a collection of papers on philosophy of mathematics which deal with a series of questions quite different from those which occupied the minds of the proponents of the three classic schools: logicism, formalism, and intuitionism. The questions of the volume are not to do with justification in the traditional sense, but with a variety of other topics. Some are concerned with discovery and the growth of mathematics. How does the semantics of mathematics change as the subject develops? What heuristics are involved in mathematical discovery, and do such heuristics constitute a logic of mathematical discovery? What new problems have been introduced by the development of mathematics since the 1930s? Other questions are concerned with the applications of mathematics both to physics and to the new field of computer science. Then there is the new question of whether the axiomatic method is really so essential to mathematics as is often supposed, and the question, which goes back to Wittgenstein, of the sense in which mathematical proofs are compelling. Taking these questions together they give part of an emerging agenda which is likely to carry philosophy of mathematics forward into the twenty first century.

See on amazon.it




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